Oil prices soared from $10 to $140 in 10 years
Recently, international crude oil prices have reached new highs. The crude oil price of the New York Mercantile Exchange has exceeded the $140 mark. The Chairman of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, Chakib Khelil, has said that it is estimated that the oil price may reach 170 US dollars by the end of 2008. This is a new shadow for the global economy, which is currently suffering from inflation.
New energy demand is rising rapidly but at least 5~10 years of preparation time
The development of new energy was originally planned to be gradually implemented in 2015~2030. However, due to the soaring oil prices, new energy development and emerging energy-saving technologies have been highly valued, and all countries have accelerated their development. However, various new technologies, including solar power, wind power, ocean waves, geothermal energy, and hydrogen energy, still have commercialization issues such as conversion efficiency. It may take 10 to 20 years to fully spread, even if it is a nuclear power plant. It takes nearly 10 years to plan and operate, so we are embarking on the development of energy-saving technologies, and we are paying the most attention to governments and enterprises.
Not only the price of oil has risen, but even the price of coal mine products that are recognized as having abundant reserves on the earth and at least 300 years of consumption has risen sharply. Compared with 2007, there is also a rise of 5-6 percent in the earth. Under the pressure of high energy costs and high energy costs, many slogans of IT, home appliances and transportation are now "energy saving and environmental protection" and "protecting the earth".
LED lighting development space is large
From the perspective of the IT industry, we have always found a compromise solution in the issues of efficiency, price and energy saving, and heat dissipation. As power prices rise, energy-saving concept-related products and markets have long been considered by IT companies. Can actively lay out the field of development.
LED lighting is a kind of solid-state lighting. It has many advantages over traditional lighting methods such as environmental protection, long life, long response time and fast response. More importantly, it has power-saving characteristics and saves at least 40% of electricity compared with traditional lighting. Therefore, it is regarded as the lighting of the next generation.
Japan hopes that in 2015, LED lighting can replace the incandescent bulbs, fluorescent lamps and high-pressure sodium lamps used in traditional lighting in Japan. According to the latest survey conducted by the Japan LED Lighting Promotion Association in 2008, the domestic LED lighting market has an opportunity to reach 800 billion. The scale of the Japanese yen (about 7.5 billion US dollars) will be developed in the new application field that breaks through the traditional lighting range and exerts the special benefits of LED lighting by 2020. The market scale is too long, and the industry's viewpoint is also 1.2 trillion~ In terms of 2.1 trillion yen, LED lighting has the opportunity to create a market growth of more than 2 times compared to the current market size of lighting sources and lamps in Japan of 800 billion to 900 billion yen.
97% of South Korea’s energy needs to rely on imports. In 2007, South Korea’s energy imports cost more than US$90 billion. Therefore, South Korea has adopted a positive attitude in high-performance motors, lighting, energy-saving labels and home appliances to enhance standby motor performance. . In terms of lighting, South Korea actively encourages the conversion of traditional light sources to save energy bulbs (saving 75 to 80% of power consumption), and also toward LED lighting development. It is hoped that LED lamps will be used in 2015 to replace 30% of Korean lighting needs. the amount.
China's mainland and Taiwan region have also set a positive development plan for LED. China's mainland region has a strong demand for energy conservation due to lack of electricity. Therefore, basically starting from the perspective of energy saving, all major cities and provinces are required to achieve annual reduction. The target of 5% energy consumption; while Taiwan is mainly focused on production output value, and hopes to establish another industry with a value of NT$1 trillion in the field of LEDs in addition to semiconductors and LCDs.
The development of LED lighting still needs upstream and downstream cooperation
With the current development of LED components and power supply circuits and luminaires, LED lighting is undoubtedly optimistic, because LED components with luminous efficiencies of 70 lm/W are expected to reach 150 lm/W in 2015. The level of depreciation and the cost of depreciation of LEDs will also be reduced by more than 70% in 2007~2015, so the cost of LED light source in 2015 will be reduced to 1 in 1 in 2007, even if driver ICs need to be considered. And the cost of lamps, but if the cost of LED light source, which accounts for about 1/3 of the cost of LED lamp materials, can be greatly reduced, the payback period will be reduced from the current 3 to 4 years to less than 1.5 years, if the price of oil and electricity continues to soar. It is not impossible to advance the LED lighting era in advance.
However, LED lighting is not an industry that can be easily entered without any arbitrarily. Philips spent about 8 billion US dollars between 2006 and 2007, and bought a lot of lighting manufacturers, in order to master the market and channels, while mainland China and Taiwan Regional manufacturers are bound to continue to confront overseas manufacturers in patent disputes. Lighting fixtures are not a standardized commodity market. They focus on channels, customer relationships and trust, so regional kings play an important role in China and Taiwan. The region should make progress in LED lighting. It must compete with international big companies not only in the upstream and midstream areas, but also in cooperation with the technology and market development of domestic and foreign downstream industries.
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